Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (2024)

Last-place finishes set up NFL teams with easier schedules the following season. It’s one way the league promotes parity.

The New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans weren’t so fortunate. Among the rewards for their last-place finishes in 2023: games against Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert, two of the best quarterbacks in the league, in 2024.

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With 2024 Quarterback Tiers results publishing this week, I’ve calculated opposing quarterback schedule strengths for all 32 teams. Injuries to Burrow and Herbert last season doomed their teams to last-place finishes, pairing them in the 2024 schedule with the Patriots and Titans as part of the fourth-place intra-conference rotation.

GO DEEPERNFL QB Tiers 2024: Only 2 join Mahomes in Tier 1; Rodgers, Herbert drop out

That’s one reflection of the imbalance of quarterback talent in each conference. Seven of the top eight in QB Tiers (and each of the top four) play in the AFC. Likewise, eight of the nine teams with the toughest opposing QB schedules (including the top three) are in the AFC.

The difference between the toughest and easiest schedules is less extreme this season after an outlier in 2023, when the Miami Dolphins’ slate of opposing QBs had an average tier of 2.24, more than a full tier better than the New Orleans Saints (3.35, for a difference of 1.11). This year, the gap between the No. 1 Patriots (2.27) and No. 32 Atlanta Falcons (3.04) is 0.77, the smallest since 2020.

Because the QB Tiers survey of 50 coaches and executives does not include rookies, I assigned reasonable ratings for the Chicago Bears’ Caleb Williams (3.1), the Washington Commanders’ Jayden Daniels (3.8) and the Denver Broncos’ Bo Nix (4.0). Williams was slotted into the bottom of Tier 3, between Geno Smith/Derek Carr and Russell Wilson. Daniels was slotted at 3.80, matching him with the Indianapolis Colts’ Anthony Richardson. Nix was slotted at 4.00, same as the results for Sam Darnold.

My thinking was that Williams was promising enough to be rated higher than the typical rookie, but not above established starters such as Carr and Smith, while the others should be right around Tier 4, which is reserved for unproven players and veterans who ideally would not start a full season.

Teams are ranked below by toughest to easiest opposing quarterback schedules. The expandable team sections list every team’s opposing quarterback schedule, sortable by week or average tier vote.

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (2)

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1

New England Patriots

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (3)

2.27

Avg. QB Tier

New England had the second-toughest QB schedule last season (2.35 average), and it’s only gotten tougher.

Injuries to Burrow and Herbert last season doomed those quarterbacks’ teams to fourth-place finishes. That wasn’t the Patriots’ problem, but it is now, because New England’s fourth-place finish pits the Patriots against Burrow’s Bengals and Herbert’s Chargers.

The formula used to determine each team’s 17th opponent means the Patriots also face the Bears’ Caleb Williams, one of the most promising rookie quarterbacks in years.

AFC

AFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (4)

2

Las Vegas Raiders

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (5)

2.40

Avg. QB Tier

Facing a tough schedule of opposing quarterbacks is even tougher when your own quarterback lags in the rankings. The difference between the 2.40 average for the Raiders’ opposing QBs and the 3.78 average for their own (Gardner Minshew) is the second-largest deficit in the league (Patriots).

AFC

AFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (6)

3

Pittsburgh Steelers

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (7)

2.42

Avg. QB Tier

The Steelers play a league-high 10 games against Tier 1-2 quarterbacks. That means they play a league-low seven games against Tier 3-4 quarterbacks.

Their division schedule is the toughest in the league, and the QBs they’ll face make an average of $37.8 million annually, the highest in the league.

AFC

AFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (8)

4

San Francisco 49ers

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (9)

2.47

Avg. QB Tier

Nine quarterbacks ranked higher this year than last. The 49ers face all of the risers except for Lamar Jackson and their own starter, Brock Purdy.

San Francisco, the only NFC team among the nine toughest schedules, plays a league-low two games against Tier 4 QBs (Brissett, Darnold).

NFC

NFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (10)

5

Denver Broncos

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (11)

2.48

Avg. QB Tier

The Broncos play the fourth-toughest division schedule while also drawing the AFC North. They’ll see Mahomes and Herbert twice, plus Burrow, Jackson and Rodgers.

AFC

AFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (12)

6

Cleveland Browns

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (13)

2.48

Avg. QB Tier

This is the Browns’ toughest projected opposing quarterback schedule since at least 2018. The division schedule features Burrow and Jackson, while the intra-conference schedule features Mahomes and Herbert. The slate gets tougher if Hurts and Lawrence bounce back.

AFC

AFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (14)

7

Baltimore Ravens

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (15)

2.49

Avg. QB Tier

The Ravens are the only team to face all three Tier 1 quarterbacks: Mahomes in Week 1, Allen in Week 4 and Burrow in Weeks 5 and 10.

AFC

AFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (16)

8

Buffalo Bills

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (17)

2.54

Avg. QB Tier

Drawing the AFC South in intra-conference play helps, but other factors increase the degree of difficulty for the Bills. The first-place intra-conference component placed Mahomes and Jackson on the schedule. Facing the NFC West this year also does not help.

9

Tennessee Titans

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (19)

2.61

Avg. QB Tier

The Titans and Patriots were the two fourth-place teams hurt most by the intra-conference rotation. Both face Burrow and Herbert after those quarterbacks’ teams finished last in their divisions without them last season.

The Titans — who rose a league-most 16 spots on this list from last year — also draw the AFC East, putting Rodgers (Week 2) and Allen (Week 7) on the schedule.

AFC

AFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (20)

10

Arizona Cardinals

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (21)

2.62

Avg. QB Tier

Arizona plays the seventh-toughest division schedule and the second-toughest inter-conference matchup (AFC East).

The Cardinals also drew the fifth-toughest 17th opponent QB in Herbert after the Chargers, like Arizona, played much of the season without their injured starter.

NFC

NFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (22)

11

Seattle Seahawks

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (23)

2.63

Avg. QB Tier

The Seahawks’ schedule is tough for many of the reasons the Cardinals’ schedule is tough. Seattle’s third-place finish last season offered a reprieve, however, as it delivered Denver’s Bo Nix (17th opponent) instead of Herbert, plus the Giants’ Daniel Jones (along with Kirk Cousins) as part of the intra-conference schedule.

NFC

NFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (24)

12

Miami Dolphins

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (25)

2.64

Avg. QB Tier

The Dolphins’ own division and their matchup against the NFC West explains the relatively high ranking. They also drew Green Bay and Love for their 17th opponent.

Facing the AFC South could provide relief unless Lawrence bounces back and Richardson ascends. Drawing Watson and Minshew as part of the second-place intra-conference rotation helps for the team that was No. 1 on this list last year.

AFC

AFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (26)

13

Kansas City Chiefs

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (27)

2.64

Avg. QB Tier

Facing the AFC North and a first-place intra-conference schedule featuring Allen and Stroud accounts for much of the difficulty for Kansas City. The Chiefs also drew San Francisco and the rising Purdy as their 17th opponent.

AFC

AFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (28)

14

Minnesota Vikings

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (29)

2.65

Avg. QB Tier

A third-place schedule means the Vikings will face their former quarterback, Cousins, along with the Giants’ Jones and, as their 17th opponent, a certain former nemesis (Rodgers in Week 5).

NFC

NFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (30)

15

Carolina Panthers

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (31)

2.68

Avg. QB Tier

The Panthers are the only team to face all three rookie starters this season: Caleb Williams in Week 5, Jayden Daniels in Week 7 and Bo Nix in Week 8. They were unlucky in drawing Burrow and Cincinnati as their 17th opponent (Week 4).

NFC

NFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (32)

16

Washington Commanders

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (33)

2.72

Avg. QB Tier

Facing the AFC North makes this schedule tougher. The last-place component produced volatile matchups against Arizona’s Murray (first full season off ACL surgery) and Chicago’s Williams (first pick in the draft coming off an impressive preseason).

NFC

NFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (34)

17

Dallas Cowboys

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (35)

2.73

Avg. QB Tier

Only the Texans play an easier division schedule of opposing quarterbacks than the Cowboys play, thanks to Hurts and Jones slipping, and Washington’s Daniels being a rookie. Facing the AFC North adds difficulty, as does the eighth-toughest 17th opponent (Houston with Stroud).

NFC

NFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (36)

18

Philadelphia Eagles

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (37)

2.73

Avg. QB Tier

Playing their own division and the NFC South helps offset the toughest aspects of the Eagles’ schedule, which are: facing the AFC North and a second-place intra-conference lineup featuring Stafford and the rising Love.

NFC

NFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (38)

19

Houston Texans

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (39)

2.73

Avg. QB Tier

Facing the AFC South without having to face Stroud explains why Houston plays the easiest division schedule in the league. Drawing the AFC East QBs is tough. Tougher: a first-place intra-conference rotation featuring Mahomes and Jackson.

AFC

AFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (40)

20

Los Angeles Rams

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (41)

2.74

Avg. QB Tier

All four of the Rams’ games against the AFC East fall in Week 10 or later, including Rodgers and the Jets in Week 16. How healthy will Rodgers be that late in the season?

The Rams drew Minshew and the Raiders as their 17th opponent after both teams finished second in their divisions last season.

NFC

NFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (42)

21

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (43)

2.74

Avg. QB Tier

One of the easier first-place intra-conference schedules (Goff, Purdy) and the ninth-easiest division schedule helps offset facing the AFC West (Mahomes, Herbert) and the fourth-toughest 17th opponent (Jackson).

NFC

NFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (44)

22

Detroit Lions

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (45)

2.77

Avg. QB Tier

The Lions drew the third-easiest division schedule, the easiest first-place intra-conference schedule (Prescott, Mayfield) and the easiest inter-conference lineup (AFC South). Their 17th opponent (Buffalo with Allen) is the third-toughest.

NFC

NFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (46)

23

New Orleans Saints

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (47)

2.77

Avg. QB Tier

The Saints’ play their three toughest opposing quarterbacks on the road: at Kansas City in Week 5 (Mahomes), at the Chargers in Week 8 (Herbert) and at Dallas in Week 2 (Prescott).

They also draw the second-toughest second-place intra-conference schedule (Stafford, Love). Facing the AFC West means a homecoming tour for their own QB (Carr).

NFC

NFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (48)

24

New York Giants

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (49)

2.82

Avg. QB Tier

The Giants face Jets alumni who have already revived their careers (Seattle’s Smith) or are trying to do so (Minnesota’s Darnold), thanks to the second-easiest third-place intra-conference schedule.

Drawing the NFC South helps offset facing Burrow and Jackson as part of a rotation featuring the AFC North.

NFC

NFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (50)

25

Green Bay Packers

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (51)

2.83

Avg. QB Tier

Green Bay enjoys the eighth-easiest division schedule of opposing QBs, but how the Bears’ Williams develops will be key. The Packers will not face Williams until Weeks 11 and 18.

Swapping Darnold for Cousins in Minnesota helps. Green Bay’s second-place intra-conference matchups (Hurts, Carr) are on the easier side.

NFC

NFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (52)

26

New York Jets

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (53)

2.85

Avg. QB Tier

The Jets face their former quarterback (Darnold) after drawing Minnesota as their 17th opponent. Their projected opposing starters average $24.1 million per year in salary, the lowest for any team (the average is $30.7 million and the high is $37.8 million for the Steelers’ opponents).

AFC

AFC East

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (54)

27

Indianapolis Colts

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (55)

2.86

Avg. QB Tier

The Colts drew the easiest third-place intra-conference schedule (Wilson, Nix) and the ninth-easiest 17th opponent (Jones). They do face the AFC East, with Allen (Week 10) and Rodgers (Week 11) in successive weeks.

AFC

AFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (56)

28

Los Angeles Chargers

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (57)

2.87

Avg. QB Tier

After having the fifth-toughest opposing QB schedule (2.41 average) last year, the Chargers now have the fifth-easiest, the largest jump in that direction of any team.

They play 12 games against Tier 3-4 quarterbacks, tied with the Jets for second-most behind the Falcons (13). Facing the AFC North isn’t as tough as it could have been with Watson and Wilson in decline.

AFC

AFC West

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (58)

29

Cincinnati Bengals

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (59)

2.88

Avg. QB Tier

Burrow’s injury last season delivered a fourth-place schedule (hello, Jacoby Brissett and Will Levis). That last-place divisional finish also helped Cincy draw Carolina and Bryce Young for its 17th opponent.

The Bengals play seven games against Tier 4 quarterbacks, tied with the Chargers, Jaguars, Bears and Falcons for most in the NFL.

AFC

AFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (60)

30

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (61)

2.88

Avg. QB Tier

For the second consecutive season, the Jaguars have the easiest opposing QB slate among AFC teams. They join the Rams as the only teams to face Darnold, Brissett and Minshew.

They do draw the AFC East, the second-toughest QB division, but much can change before they face Rodgers in Week 15.

AFC

AFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (62)

31

Chicago Bears

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (63)

2.99

Avg. QB Tier

The Bears are the only team to face all three first-round quarterbacks from the 2023 draft: Stroud in Week 2, Richardson in Week 3 and Young in Week 5.

They are one of three teams, along with the Vikings and Packers, with zero games against Tier 1 quarterbacks. Their 17th opponent, New England, has the lowest average tier vote (4.04).

NFC

NFC North

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (64)

32

Atlanta Falcons

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (65)

3.04

Avg. QB Tier

The Falcons, who were No. 31 on this list last year, play a league-high 13 games against Tier 3-4 quarterbacks, thanks partly to the third-easiest division schedule.

Their Week 3 matchup against Mahomes marks their only game all season against a top-tier quarterback.

NFC

NFC South

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (66)

(Illustration: Dan Goldfarb /The Athletic; photos: Kathryn Riley, Cooper Neill / Getty Images)

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (67)

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Mike Sando joined The Athletic in 2019 as an NFL senior writer after 12 years with ESPN. He is a selector for the Pro Football Hall of Fame, an officer for the Pro Football Writers of America and has covered every non-pandemic Super Bowl since the 1998 season. Follow Mike on Twitter @SandoNFL

Ranking 2024 NFL schedules by opposing QBs: Patriots, Raiders face toughest roads (2024)
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